Written by: James R. Harrison (@JamesHarrisonII)
Oftentimes, the end of the NBA season represents a gloomy end to a fun-filled season of fantasy basketball action on DraftKings and FanDuel. Many teams who are on their way to April, May, and June’s NBA Playoffs use the final two weeks of the season to rest star players and work with their bench in preparation for a run at the NBA Finals. Resting players can be the biggest buzzkill for a daily fantasy player, especially when you factor in the amount of money that can be lost on any given night.
But this doesn’t have to be the end, there’s light at the end of the tunnel: the NBA Playoffs. Beginning on April 15, the NBA Playoffs will open the door for experienced and beginner NBA DFS players alike to one more month of quality fantasy basketball action.
Here are five tips to help you cash-in on the postseason on DraftKings and FanDuel.
| 1. Don’t pick the player, pick the opponent
Don’t fill your lineups by selecting players, fill your lineups by carefully scouting and selecting defenses. Let’s say Golden State plays Portland in the first round, and you know that the Portland Trail Blazers are one of the worst teams in the NBA against power forwards when using DraftKings’ scoring. It would be advantageous for you to consider playing Draymond Green, as he would theoretically have the best power forward matchup of anybody else in the Playoffs.
While there are many other factors that need to be considered when selecting players for your lineups, looking at matchups is a great place to start. For more information on selecting defenses effectively, see tip #5.
| 2. Don’t put too much emphasis on statistics from March
Like I mentioned in the introduction to this article, there are many factors that go into making basketball in March terrible. Because of this, it’s easy to overlook great players who have had slow Marches. For instance, the Cavaliers, who have had an abysmal March, should not be faded solely for their recent history. There are times when recency bias in fantasy will make you a lot of money, but this is not one of them.
| 3. Value picks are the key to winning money and robbing beginners
One of the great things about sports is that there’s almost always a Cinderella story, especially in the playoffs. In the last year alone, we’ve had wonderful stories; the Cleveland Cavaliers, the Chicago Cubs, and even Leister City. In NBA DFS, we get bench players who turn it on in the playoffs and carry their teams. We’ve had players like Boris Diaw, Matthew Dellavedova, and Andre Iguodala light it up at unexpected times, and locating that type of player can be the difference between not cashing and taking down a GPP on DraftKings in FanDuel.
To find players like this, you need to be taking note of lineup decisions and changes that teams are making, keeping up to speed on rotation adjustments, and also looking at shootaround notes and injury reports. To learn more about finding key value players, see tip #5.
| 4. Target value, find the outliers
Targeting value is the most important part to finding success in NBA DFS. If your players aren’t hitting at least 5.0 value, or five fantasy points for every $1,000 of salary a player is worth (or one point for every $200), you’re going to be hard pressed to find consistent success in playing daily fantasy basketball. Luckily for you, there are ways to find out how much value a player should be expected to accrue over the course of a given game.
Looking at defense, like mentioned in tip #1, is one of the keys to finding value. If you can come to the conclusion that a player is in a favorable matchup, and they have been known to score close or more than 5.0 value at their current price, you should place more importance on having that player in your lineup.
It is also imperative to pay attention to fluctuations in price for any given player. An unusually poor performance in one or two games can cause a significant dip in salary that can be exploited for significant gain, given a positive matchup. To learn more about how to target value players, see tip #5.
| 5. Subscribe to The Grandstand’s NBA cheat sheets for little effort and optimal results
The Grandstand’s NBA cheat sheets are a trusted source for hundreds of NBA DFS players around the world. Curated daily by our staff, our sheets provide accurate, value-based projections for DraftKings and FanDuel. Our players are projected based upon a mathematical formula designed to determine a player’s value on any given night based upon more than 20 statistics and advanced analytics. Using these analytics and the information we compile from more than 100 news sources and trusted Twitter accounts, we are also able to pinpoint significant value options on a nightly basis, delivering heavy point totals at dirt cheap prices. These numbers are broken down into a value projection and a color coded category for your convenience, making it simple for DFS experts and beginners alike to make a quality lineup in just minutes.
In total, our sheets deliver 40+ easy-to-read, value based projections (at least four at every position, for each site), eight optimized lineups (four for DraftKings and four for FanDuel), a comprehensive injury report with tips for player replacement considerations, and daily support from our experts to help you answer any questions you may have about how to use the sheets, fantasy basketball tips, and even lineup advice!
There are many benefits to our NBA sheets package. Our team compiles hours of research into a nightly sheet that is delivered in high-definition PDF format to your email inbox every day. Having hours of information that is cleanly displayed at your fingertips saves a lot of hassle when making a nightly lineup on your favorite DFS site. With our unique formula, you’re sure to gain an edge with contrarian value plays, as we pinpoint the ideal punt plays on every slate, saving you salary and winning you money. Our injury report is great to see all of the slates injuries and their replacements without having to worry about playing a resting/injured player or searching Twitter frantically to find injury updates. Our lineups are algorithmically optimized with up-to-the-second updates to provide you with cash and tournament lineups with the highest statistical probability of winning. Finally, our fantasy support team will be at your fingertips, ready and willing to answer lineup questions, help you decide between players by weighing the pros, cons, and other options, and anything else you may need to make a perfect lineup.
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For just $19.99, you can get our NBA DFS cheat sheets sent daily, directly to your inbox, for the NBA Playoffs. That’s less than $0.99 per sheet to help you maximize your profit potential.
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