CFB

Parksie’s Picks: Betting Tips for Week 12 of College Football


Written by: David Parks – Staff Writing Intern (@_Parskie)

| UTSA +27 @ Texas A&M

Gonna cover my eyes and take the 27 with the Road Runners. If you’re looking for any deep statistical dives for reasoning behind this play… I don’t have any. This has almost nothing to do with UTSA and everything to do with the spot Texas A&M finds themselves in.

How long ago does that initial number four ranking seem? After Trevor Knight’s season-ending injury, the Ags collapsed at home last week to an Ole Miss team that was led by a true freshman quarterback making his first career start.

Now, after being in the playoff discussion as little as two weeks ago, the Aggies are suddenly reeling, having lost three of four. And oh by the way – a week from today (Thursday), the Ags host LSU on Thanksgiving day.

Sandwiched in between the heartbreaking loss to the Rebels last week and LSU on Thanksgiving, this just feels like a game the Ags will have little to no passion for. To make matters worse, the game kicks off at 11 a.m. CST, meaning Kyle Field won’t exactly be the intimidating setting it usually is.

Final: Texas A&M 34 UTSA 17

| Washington State +4.5 @ Colorado

Personal favorite game of the day. If you read the Power Rankings you’ll know my love for Mike Leach is borderline frightening, but it just can’t be helped.

Betting against the Buffs this year has been a bad idea, so naturally that’s exactly what I’m doing. Coming into Saturday’s tilt the Buffs are 9-1 ATS, tops in the nation.

Anyone remember Jim Leavitt? He’s the guy that always looked like he was going to murder someone while the head coach at South Florida during the Matt Grothe years. You know – the guy who took SOUTH FLORIDA to number two in the country?

Anyway, that guy has Colorado’s defense playing lights out seemingly out of nowhere. How good you ask? Consider that UCLA’s ten points is the most points they’ve allowed at home all season.

“So why are you taking Washington State you moron?”

Luke Falk who, is quite possibly the most underrated quarterback going right now. Colorado has played relatively lackluster offenses at home this season, but against Michigan and Oregon – two offenses that are above average like WSU’s – the Buffs surrendered 45 and 38 points respectively. Granted, both those games came on the road.

This feels like a field goal game either way, so I’ll take Leach and the free 1.5 in hopes that at the very least, he can backdoor late in the game.

Final: Washington State 27 Colorado 24

| Wyoming +10 vs. SDSU

One of the more under the radar coaching jobs in the country has been Craig Bohl. He has his Wyoming squad sitting at 7-3 with a massive conference showdown looming against conference leader SDSU.

I was surprised at this line given how well the Cowboys have played at home this year – particularly as a dog. In three games as a home underdog, the Cowboys are not only 3-0 ATS, they’re 3-0 SU including a win over Boise State.

SDSU’s game plan is simple – give it to Pumphrey and let him do damage. Wyoming’s defense has been incredibly mediocre this season (108th nationally in total def), but has actually been somewhat solid against the run.

Bohl comes from NDSU where he won three national championships and was the architect of the program. Now in his third season in Laramie, he’s already won more games this year (7) than his previous two combined (6).

I’m not sure Wyoming has the horses to stay with SDSU for a full sixty minutes, but ten feels like way too many to be laying on the road against a team that’s played well as a home dog all year.

Final: SDSU 30 Wyoming 23

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