Fantasy MLB

Daily Fantasy MLB Baseball: Pitching Preview for DraftKings and FanDuel – 8.20.16


Written by: Coleman Bahr – Staff Writer (@ColemanBahr)

We have a 13 game slate tonight, and I simply love the stacking options on the slate. In this article I am going to preview the top cash, and tournament pitchers, along with a few hitters I will be targeting hitters against. With that being said, let’s get to it!

| Pitchers to Target in Cash Games

Felix Hernandez – DraftKings: $11,500, FanDuel: $10,400 – Seattle Mariners

Felix Hernandez is not the King Felix that we have seen in previous seasons, but he is still dang good. His strikeout numbers have been down this season, only striking out 7.74 batters per nine innings (K/9). However, he certainly has an exploitable matchup against the Milwaukee Brewers who strike out a ton (1 st in strikeouts against righties), and he is at pitcher friendly Safeco Field. Despite his struggles over the course of the season, he has found his groove lately. In his past four starts, he has fanned eight batters in three of them, while allowing more than two runs just once. He is certainly a chalky option, but he is chalky for a reason, and he is a great building block for your cash game lineups today.

Max Scherzer – DraftKings: $13,600, FanDuel: $11,000 – Washington Nationals

In cash games, it is always key to not get cute when picking a starting pitcher. In this instance, fading Max Scherzer against the Atlanta Braves would absolutely be the definition of “getting cute”. Yes, Max Scherzer has struggled with the Atlanta Braves this season, but may I remind you that those were his first two starts of the season? Sometimes it takes a while to hit the ground running, but once May came around Scherzer became dominant. Since the beginning of May, Scherzer has posted 10 double digit strikeout performances in 20 games, and only one start of less than six strikeouts which was against the Colorado Rockies at Coors Field. Do not overthink this one, Max Scherzer is a stud taking on the league’s worst team, and he should absolutely dominate.

| Pitchers to Target in Tournaments

David Phelps – DraftKings: $6,100, FanDuel: $6,400 – Miami Marlins

The baseball world finally saw a glimpse of David Phelps’ greatness in his last start as he struck out eight batters over five and third while only allowing two runs to the Cincinnati Reds. Tonight he squares off against the Pittsburgh Pirates, who are just slightly better against righties than the Cincinnati Reds. However, Phelps may find more success in the strikeout department as the Pirates throw out a mainly right-handed lineup, and Phelps has tantalized righties, evident with his 36.9% strikeout rate. While some questions arise from his ability to go deep into games, he does not really need to in my opinion. He is still marked down on both sites, and he still easily pays off his price tag on both sites despite not reaching the sixth inning in any of his three starts this season. Phelps has had a great transition into his starting role, and he makes for a fantastic money saving option yet again tonight.

Drew Pomeranz – DraftKings: $11,300, FanDuel: $8,800 – Boston Red Sox

The risk involved in this one is hard for me to stomach, but the reward is more than worth it. Drew Pomeranz squares off against the righty laden Detroit Tigers, and anytime a southpaw takes on nine righties, it is obviously concerning. However, he played the Tigers not too long ago, and he only allowed two runs, while fanning seven over six innings. Also, this game is not at Fenway where Pomeranz has surrendered a 5.02 ERA. The most significant thing to me however is Pomeranz’s splits this season. He has more success against right-handed bats, holding a .198 batting average against, a strikeout rate of 28.7%, and a walk rate of only 9.6%. This option obviously has major risk, but the risk will drive his ownership down, and his upside is second to Max Scherzer on this slate. Those two pitchers could make for a great one-two punch on DraftKings tonight for tournaments.

| Pitchers to Target Hitters Against

Wily Peralta – Milwaukee Brewers

Is Wily Peralta actually good at pitching now? No, actually he is still the equivalent of a pitching machine. He just had two very soft matchups against the Cincinnati Reds, and the Atlanta Braves to simply give the premonition that he somehow does not suck. Tonight presents a lineup that features some of the league’s best hitters, the Seattle Mariners, and they should have no problem smacking around Peralta tonight. Peralta is actually worse against righties (.404 wOBA, .545 slugging) than lefties (.393 wOBA, .542 slugging), but the lefties in this Mariners lineup have crushed righties this season. A heart of the order stack with Robinson Cano, Nelson Cruz, Kyle Seager, and Adam Lind is a great way to build up a nice score in tournament play tonight, however it will lie on the pricier side of things.

Clayton Richard – San Diego Padres

Clayton Richard may just be worse than Wily Peralta, which I honestly did not think was possible until I saw Richard’s stats. Richards has to face off against the Arizona Diamondbacks who have crushed southpaws like no other team has this season, and they will throw out nine righties to expose Richard’s biggest struggles. In a small sample size against righties (54 plate appearances) this season, he has walked 16.7% of batters while only striking out 14.8% of them, which is very, very bad. The fact that the Diamondbacks also have the highest slugging percentage and isolated power certainly does not help the fact that Richard loves to give out free passes. If he cannot keep the walks to a minimum, this game could get out of hand fast, leaving the Diamondbacks with a susceptible San Diego Padres bullpen.

That’s all I have for today, thanks for reading! If you have any questions feel free to reach out to me on Twitter @ColemanBahr, good luck tonight!

Advertisements

0 comments on “Daily Fantasy MLB Baseball: Pitching Preview for DraftKings and FanDuel – 8.20.16

Leave a Reply

Please log in using one of these methods to post your comment:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s

%d bloggers like this: