Fantasy MLB

Daily Fantasy MLB Baseball: Pitching Preview for DraftKings and FanDuel – 8.13.16


Written by: Coleman Bahr – Staff Writing Intern (@ColemanBahr)

We have an 11 game slate today, and it seems a bit tricky for cash games, but there are plenty of pitchers I can get behind for tournaments.. In this article I am going to preview the top cash, and tournament pitchers, along with a few hitters I will be targeting hitters against. With that being said, let’s get to it!

| Pitchers to Target in Cash Games

Jacob deGrom – DraftKings: $12,200, FanDuel: $10,800 – New York Mets

Jacob dGrom is my go to guy for cash games today, you have to love his upside, and safety with a matchup against the San Diego Padres. The Padres own the lowest weighted on base average (wOBA), and third lowest weighted runs created plus (wRC+), while also striking out the second most in the league against right-handed pitching. The Padres has become more left-hand dominant recently, but deGrom has actually experienced more success against lefties with a .249 wOBA, and a .299 slugging percentage, opposed to a .291 wOBA, and a .376 slugging percentage to righties. This matchup is also at Citi Field where deGrom has 1.96 earned run average this season. deGrom seems to have all the factors working in his favor today, and he makes for the top cash game option on tonight’s slate.

Madison Bumgarner – DraftKings: $12,700, FanDuel: $11,400 – San Francisco Giants

Woah, how can you possibly recommend Madison Bumgarner in cash games against the Baltimore Orioles? Jokes on you, the Orioles are actually one of the worst teams in the league against southpaws, and they also have a strikeout rate of 21.4%. The Orioles rank 26 th in wRC+, wOBA, and slugging percentage against lefties, so Bumgarner actually has a pretty ideal matchup in this one. Bumgarner also is pitching at home for the first time since July 31 st , and he has a 1.59 home ERA, and a strikeout rate of 29.5% at home this season. Bumgarner has a sneaky good matchup, and he has upside and safety, so I feel comfortable using him in both cash games and tournaments.

| Pitchers to Target in Tournaments

Tyler Anderson – DraftKings: $9,500, FanDuel: $6,400 – Colorado Rockies

I am completely content with using Tyler Anderson on both sites tonight, but he just be the chalk pitcher play on FanDuel for just $6,500 against the Philadelphia Phillies. Colorado Rockies pitchers always fly under the radar due to their ballpark, but Tyler Anderson has put up incredible numbers if you consider the ballpark conditions he has been faced with. In eight starts at Coors Field this season, Tyler Anderson holds a 3.04 ERA, and a batting average against of .269. Since Coors Field was founded in 1995, no Rockies starter with at least 60 innings under his belt has a lower ERA than Tyler Anderson, so there is no doubt in my mind that this kid is the real deal. Luckily for him today, he does not even have to worry about Coors as he heads over to Philadelphia to face off against the worst team in the league against lefties. Another stellar outing seems to be the most likely outcome for Anderson, and he may even be able to pick up a few extra strikeouts as the Phillies strike out 23.1% of the time against left-handed pitching.

Matt Shoemaker – DraftKings: $6,400, FanDuel: $7,800 – Los Angeles Angels

While Matt Shoemaker has had his fair share of struggles on the road this season, he seems to have the Cleveland Indians number, and I am willing to take a chance on him tonight. Earlier this year, Shoemaker spun a gem against the Indians, pitching eight innings of three hit ball, while picking up 11 strikeouts. In Shoemaker’s career, the Indians active hitters have registered 45 at bats against him, but they have only mustered six hits, so Shoemaker seems to have this squad on lockdown. I also cannot fathom his DraftKings price, it is just absurdly low considering he put up 37.6 DraftKings points the last time he faced the Indians. Shoemaker makes for a wonderful tournament option with plenty of strikeout upside, however the Indians have been hitting the ball well lately so this matchup does come with some risk.

| Pitchers to Target Hitters Against

Archie Bradley – Arizona Diamondbacks

Yes, Archie Bradley is a much better pitcher on the road, but just because he is a better road pitcher does not mean he is “good” by any means. On the road he is still allowing a batting average to lefties of .307, and a slugging percentage of .488, so there is one reason for concern. However, the biggest concern is his extremely tough matchup against the Boston Red Sox, who just crushed Patrick Corbin last night. No team is better at home than the Red Sox (maybe the Rockies, but that doesn’t count), and they should be able to knock up Bradley pretty easily tonight. The Sox have plenty of lefties who can mash righties, and they are all in a position to feast tonight.

Cole Hamels – Texas Rangers

Very rarely will I recommend to stack against an elite pitcher as they rarely get blown up, and when they do it is almost impossible to predict, but Cole Hamels seems to have just a few too many things working against him tonight. First off, his home stats are pretty awful with a 4.22 ERA, .261 batting average against, and on average he gives up 1.66 home runs per nine innings. Also, he faces an all right-handed lineup in the Detroit Tigers, and he has been drilled against righties at home, allowing a .385 on base percentage, and a .484 slugging percentage. Lastly, many Tigers have had success against Hamels over the course of his career, the current roster has hit .309 against him (46 hits in 149 at bats), and the top bat has to be none other than Miguel Cabrera, he has crushed Hamels to the tune of eight hits in 15 at bats, with a slugging percentage of .800. Along with Cabrera, I am looking at Ian Kinsler, J.D Martinez, and Justin Upton to complete my stack. This stack certainly has some risk because Hamels is elite, but it should have low ownership so it is a great way to differentiate yourself in large tournaments.

That’s all I have for today, thanks for reading! If you have any questions feel free to reach out to me on Twitter @ColemanBahr, good luck tonight!

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