Written by: Coleman Bahr – Staff Writing Intern (@ColemanBahr)
We have a 14 game slate today, and there is no shortage of elite pitchers taking the hill. In this article I am going to preview the top cash, and tournament pitchers, along with a few hitters I will be targeting hitters against. With that being said, let’s get to it!
| Pitchers to Target in Cash Games
Stephen Strasburg – DraftKings: $12,400, FanDuel: $11,600 – Washington Nationals
Yes, this pick is extremely chalky, but in cash games you should not worry too much about ownership percentages anyway. However, Stephen Strasburg gets as soft of a matchup as possible against the Atlanta Braves. The Braves rank dead last in weighted on base average (wOBA), and weighted runs created plus (wRC+) against righties, and they face a pretty good one tonight. While the Braves will throw out a decent amount of left-handed bats to combat Strasburg, he has a 32.6% strikeout rate to lefties, and the Braves lefties are far from elite anyways. Strasburg is an easy plug-and- play in cash games tonight, and there is simply no reason to fade him tonight.
Carlos Carrasco – DraftKings: $6,900, FanDuel: $9,700 – Cleveland Indians
This is more of a DraftKings play for me, I just simply cannot comprehend the pricing of Carlos Carrasco on that site tonight. While Carrasco has had a couple of rough outings at home, he has had some stellar ones to combat them, and he makes for another easy cash game play tonight. While his upside is certainly limited against the Los Angeles Angels who have the league’s lowest strikeout rate against righties, he does not need many points to pay off his price tag. While strikeouts may be hard to come by, he should still post a nice outing as the Angels are a mediocre hitting team against righties with a .315 wOBA, and a wRC+ a tick above average at 101.
| Pitchers to Target in Tournaments
Yu Darvish – DraftKings: $11,200, FanDuel: $9,700 – Texas Rangers
Yu Darvish has been a strikeout machine lately, and simply based on that he makes for a great tournament play today. In his past four outings, he has picked up at least eight strikeouts in three of them, and he has great chance to keep his momentum rolling against the Detroit Tigers tonight. The Tigers lineup consists of mainly right-handed batters, and that plays perfectly into Darvish’s 35.9% strikeout rate to righties this season. Darvish probably has the top strikeout upside on this slate, and for that reason he is my top tournament option tonight.
Chris Archer – DraftKings: $9,400, FanDuel: $9,000 – Tampa Bay Rays
Another guy who knows a thing or two about strikeouts is Chris Archer. Archer ranks sixth in strikeouts this season, and he will look to add to that total tonight against the New York Yankees. Archer has already faced the Yankees once this season, and he pitched eight innings while striking out seven, but he gave up four runs, and two dingers. However, Archer has finally been able to limit his homeruns allowed, in his last four starts he has only allowed two homers through 26.1 innings pitched. While the Yankees have been able to limit strikeouts against righties with a strikeout rate of 19.4%, they should struggle a bit more than usual in this one as Chris Archer’s main strikeout pitch is his slider, and the only Yankee with a positive pitch value against the slider is Didi Gregorius.
| Pitchers to Target Hitters Against
Jimmy Nelson – Milwaukee Brewers
Jimmy Nelson has been one of the worst major league pitchers as of late, allowing at least six runs in his past three starts, and he has not made it out of the fourth inning in any of those starts. Tonight he squares off against the Cincinnati Reds, and the top of that order is plenty capable of smacking home a few runs. Nelson is not a big strikeout guy, but he has a walk rate that hovers around 10%, and that is always troublesome. Nelson has seemed to have lost a step as of late, and until he returns to form I will continue to stack against him.
Patrick Corbin – Arizona Diamondbacks
Another really bad pitcher taking the mound today is Patrick Corbin, and he just happens to be facing off against the best offensive team in the league, the Boston Red Sox. Corbin has especially struggled against right-handed bats, sporting a strikeout rate of only 14.7%, while holding a walk rate of 8.7%, and a batting average against of .292. The easiest way to stack the Red Sox is to look at the righties at the top of lineup, but some of the lefties in this lineup have just as much upside as the righties, and they should have much lower ownership percentages.
That’s all I have for today, thanks for reading! If you have any questions feel free to reach out to me on Twitter @ColemanBahr, good luck tonight!