Fantasy MLB

Daily Fantasy MLB Baseball: Pitching Preview for DraftKings and FanDuel – 8.5.16


Written by: Coleman Bahr – Staff Writing Intern (@ColemanBahr)

We have a full slate of baseball tonight, however it does lack elite pitching options. In this article, I am going to preview the top cash pitchers, the top tournament pitchers, and a few pitchers I will be targeting hitters against. With that being said, let’s get to it!

| Pitchers to Target in Cash Games

Noah Syndergaard – DraftKings: $11,200, FanDuel: $10,200 – New York Mets

While Noah Syndergaard has been lackluster compared to what we are used to, he is one of the only aces taking the hill today, and his matchup is better than it seems. Tonight he squares off against the Detroit Tigers who mainly have right-handed hitters. Syndergaard has shut down righties to the tune of a .244 weighted on base average (wOBA), a hard contact rate of 25.6%, and a strikeout rate of 29.7%. Syndergaard is the cheapest he has been in some time, and he has all the upside in the world with the best strikeout potential on tonight’s slate.

Jaime Garcia – DraftKings: $6,900, FanDuel: $7,800 – St. Louis Cardinals

This is mainly a price play for me as I believe Jaime Garcia is merely a mediocre pitcher. However, he is really good at keeping the ball on the ground with a 56.6% groundball rate, and he has the best matchup tonight against the Atlanta Braves. The Braves have the lowest wOBA, isolated power (ISO), and weighted runs created plus (wRC+), along with the second lowest walk rate against southpaws, so Garcia should be able to hit value with ease tonight. Garcia also has a great shot at picking up the win as he faces off against one of the worst pitchers on tonight’s slate, Joel De La Cruz.

| Pitchers to Target in Tournaments

Steven Wright – DraftKings: $9,500, FanDuel: $9,000 – Boston Red Sox

I always love using Steven Wright in tournaments because he is never highly owned, and he the potential to pitch a complete game if the knuckleball is moving like it should. Tonight he faces the Los Angeles Dodgers in L.A, giving him a positive park boost. Also, the Dodgers are fairly unfamiliar to the knuckleball, and the batters who have seen it have struggled with it, Corey Seager is the only batter who profiles well against it. Wight has the potential to go deep into this one, and he can provide the upside needed to help take down a large GPP tonight at sub 10% ownership.

David Phelps – DraftKings: $4,000, FanDuel: $5,500 – Miami Marlins

Wait, who? Yeah, I asked myself the same question before I looked at David Phelps stats, which are among the best on this slate by the way. Phelps has the highest strikeout rate, and the lowest batting average against (BAA) among today’s starting pitchers, but there is one problem, and that is his matchup against the Colorado Rockies in Coors Field. I’m not as worried about the Rockies as I am with Coors, but Phelps frees up a tons of salary for the best bats, and he can still provide solid upside because of his strikeout rate. This pick has all the risk in the world as he is not only starting in Coors, but he has yet to start a game at all this season. However, the Rockies will start mainly righties, and Phelps has shut righties down, sporting a 37.2% strikeout rate, and a .191 BAA against righties this season. Phelps comes with a great deal of risk, but if he pays off, it leaves almost too much salary for all of the bats you want, and he will be low owned so it will differentiate your lineup from the field.

| Pitcher to Target Hitters Against

Dillon Overton – Oakland Athletics

Dillon Overton is the worst pitcher on this slate, and he probably has the most difficult matchup against the Chicago Cubs. The Cubs have the second highest wOBA, and wRC+, along with the highest walk to strikeout ratio in the league against southpaws. While he does have a limited sample size, both righties and lefties have crushed him. Righties have a .493 wOBA, and .374 ISO against him in 74 plate appearances, while lefties have a .597 wOBA, and .667 ISO in only 19 plate appearances. The Cubs have quality bats up and down the lineup, so you can probably stack them any way possible and I would agree with you, but the stack with the most potential would be right at the top of the order. The Cubs will be chalky tonight, but they are in a great spot so it should pay off.

Jorge De La Rosa – Colorado Rockies

Jorge De La Rosa has a tall task ahead of him against the Miami Marlins who have a few batters who simply obliterate lefties. They have three players with an ISO above .250 against southpaws, and two of those players have a wOBA above .390. De La Rosa also has been poor against righties also with a BAA of .295, while allowing a wOBA of .371 to add to his misery. The top play for the Marlins on paper is Marcell Ozuna (.458 wOBA, .363 ISO vs LHP), but Stanton is not far off (.397 wOBA, .316 ISO vs LHP), and I would not overlook Jeff Mathis (.389 wOBA, .261 ISO vs LHP) who has mashed southpaws this season. For stacking purposes, I am going with the three names I just mentioned, along with Martin Prado (.466 wOBA vs LHP) to compete my stack. De La Rosa has posted back-to- back quality starts, but he was obliterated in his last home start against the Tampa Bay Rays, allowing nine runs over four innings.

That’s all I have for today, thanks for reading! If you have any questions feel free to reach out to me on Twitter @ColemanBahr, good luck tonight!

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