Written by: Coleman Bahr – Staff Writing Intern (@ColemanBahr)
We have a small eight game slate on tap for tonight, and the pitching options are less than ideal to say the least. In this article, I am going to preview the top three pitchers on today’s slate, and one pitcher I am looking to target hitters against. With that being said, let’s get to it!
| Pitchers to Target
Stephen Strasburg – DraftKings: $12,900, FanDuel: $11,600 – Washington Nationals
Stephen Strasburg is the top option on the slate tonight, and even though he is headed to a hitter’s ballpark, it does not make him any less appealing for cash games. Tonight he faces the Arizona Diamondbacks, and they have not been able to hit righties efficiently all season long. They strike out way too much, and they do not draw enough walks against righties, and there lineup is predominantly right-handed, which certainly is not an advantage. Strasburg has obliterated right-handed bats when on the road with a .205 batting average, and a 37.1% strikeout rate. The top bat for the Diamondbacks tonight is Jake Lamb due to the fact that he mashes right-handed pitching, but he actually does not profile well against Strasburg’s best strikeout pitch this year, his changeup. I expect another stellar performance from Strasburg tonight, and I expect him to be the top scoring pitcher on the slate.
Danny Salazar – DraftKings: $10,400, FanDuel: $10,300 – Cleveland Indians
On a short slate like today, pitching carries extra importance, so let’s not get too cute with our pitching options for today. Danny Salazar has a nice matchup, and he has some impressive strike out stuff to top it off. Tonight he faces off against the Minnesota Twins who have a 22.1% strikeout rate (9th highest), and a .309 weighted on base average (wOBA) against right-handed pitching. One trouble spot is Brian Dozier who has crushed Salazar with a .476 batting average, and two dingers in 21 at bats, but besides that Salazar should be able to breeze through this Twins lineup. On a slate lacking solid pitching options, Salazar offers impressive strikeout upside, and he is a good pivot off of Stephen Strasburg over on FanDuel.
Logan Verrett – DraftKings: 4,800, FanDuel: $6,700 – New York Mets
Logan Verrett has firmly established himself as the fifth man in the New York Mets rotation, and I believe that he is a sneaky pick against the New York Yankees tonight. He has had much more success pitching at Citi Field opposed to on the road with a 3.29 home earned run average, opposed to a 5.00 road earned run average. He has also been able to limit the long ball at home only allowing three home runs in 38.1 innings opposed to eight home runs in 36 innings on the road. Also, Verrett’s best strikeout pitch has been his slider, and Didi Gregorius is the only player on the Yankees who has seen much success against that pitch this season. His next best pitch is his fastball, and while the Yankees have some hitters who can hit a fastball, Verrett only tops out at 90 which may take some adjusting to as that is on the slower end of the fastball spectrum. Verrett is a mediocre at best strikeout pitcher, but if he can utilize his slider I can see him picking up almost a strikeout per inning, which would be just fine considering his price tag. I would limit my exposure to Verrett to tournaments only as I am sticking with Strasburg and Salazar for my cash game lineups today.
| Pitcher to Target Hitters Against
Archie Bradley – Arizona Diamondbacks
Archie Bradley is absolutely terrible at home compared to what he is doing on the road, and he has a tough task ahead of him tonight with the Washington Nationals. At home Bradley has pitched his way to a 5.15 ERA, while also allowing a .344 wOBA, and a .273 isolated power (ISO). To compare those to his away numbers, he has a 3.38 ERA, .314 wOBA, and a .136 ISO while on the road. He has especially struggled with left-handed hitters at home, allowing a .395 wOBA, and a .310 ISO. With that being said, the top bat on the Nationals side is none other than Bryce Harper, and I also like Daniel Murphy if he cracks the lineup (sat last two games), and any other lefty who is in the lineup. For stacking purposes, I’m looking to the heart of this order with the 3-6 hitters. With a slight park boost at Chase Field, and a favorable pitching matchup, the Nationals are my top stack on tonight’s slate.
That’s all I have for today, thanks for reading! If you have any questions feel free to reach out to me on Twitter @ColemanBahr, good luck tonight!