Written by: Coleman Bahr – Staff Writing Intern (@ColemanBahr)
Today we have a full slate of baseball ahead of us, and today is filled with bargain priced pitchers, with 16 pitchers on FanDuel $7,000 or cheaper, and 15 pitchers on DraftKings $6,000 or cheaper. In this article I’m going to preview the top cash, and tournament pitchers, along with a few pitchers I’m going to be targeting hitters against. With that being said, let’s get to it!
| Pitchers to Target in Cash Games
Noah Syndergaard – DraftKings: $11,700, FanDuel: $10,100 – New York Mets
I don’t know what else to say besides Noah Syndergaard is an absolute beast. He owns a strikeout rate (K%) a tick above 30%, a walk rate (BB%) of only 4.3%, and his earned run average (ERA) is at 2.56. Even though he has to face the Chicago Cubs, Syndergaard is my top option of the night, and he even comes with a slight discount around the industry due to his matchup. Syndergaard is everything I look for when it comes to a cash game pitcher, and the Chicago Cubs surprisingly strikeout the sixth most against righties. Syndergaard has already shown us his ability to shut down the Chicago Cubs earlier this season on July 3rd , pitching seven innings of one-run ball, while striking out eight. Even with the tough matchup, Syndergaard should do just fine at home against the Chicago Cubs, and he is my top option of the night.
Carlos Martinez- DraftKings: $10,200 FanDuel: $9,400- St. Louis Cardinals
If you’re one of those people who are scared of tough matchups, here is one matchup that you will not be scared of: a righty against the San Diego Padres. Carlos Martinez has been on a roll lately, and he absolutely shuts down right-handed bats, which the Padres have tons of. Martinez has faced 199 righties this season, and he has only allowed one extra base hit. He holds a .179 batting average against (BAA), and a .189 slugging percentage when facing righties, both of which rank top five among qualified pitchers this season. I would love this matchup if it was in Petco Park, but I am still content with this one being in St. Louis because the Padres are simply putrid against right-handed pitching.
| Pitchers to Target in Tournaments
Vince Velasquez – DraftKings: $9,700, FanDuel: $8,600 – Philadelphia Phillies
To my surprise, Vince Velasquez owns the second highest K% on this slate, and I am going to have some exposure to that strikeout upside in tournaments tonight. He faces off against the Marlins tonight, and while they don’t strikeout all that much, they also don’t have many lethal power hitters, so the upside for them is definitely limited, which gives some leverage to Velasquez. On a slate that really lacks premier strikeout talent, Velasquez can offer strikeout upside at a viable price tag.
Jake Arrieta – DraftKings: $12,100, FanDuel: $10,600 – Chicago Cubs
Jake Arrieta has not been the same pitcher recently that we saw earlier this season, and last season, but the old Arrieta could show up at any moment, and I don’t want to miss out when it happens. Arrieta is still a premier talent with a BAA of .196, and a K% of 26.1%, so the upside is definitely there, but recently we have really failed to see it. It has been a struggle to find a few pitchers to get behind tonight, and while I am by no means in love with Arrieta tonight, he could easily pop off eight innings, and close to double digit strikeouts against the New York Mets tonight who strike out the eighth most against righties. Arrieta is definitely risky, but I expect his ownership to be down due to his recent performances, and he still has the upside to help you take down a tournament.
| Pitchers to Target Hitters Against
Tommy Milone – Minnesota Twins
Tommy Milone faces off against the Detroit Tigers today, and any time the Detroit Tigers face off against a lefty, they are always in play. The fact that Tommy Milone is a mediocre at best pitcher makes this an easy stacking option for tonight. The Tigers will start nine righties tonight, and that should provide some problems for Tommy Milone as he has surrendered a .365 weighted on base average, and a .492 slugging percentage to righties this season. Vegas is also behind me on this one as the Detroit Tigers are projected to score 5.4 runs tonight. The Tigers are usually a fairly popular stacking option when facing a lefty, but on a full slate with a game in Coors, I wouldn’t worry too much about ownership in this one.
Zack Godley- Arizona Diamondbacks
Zack Godley started his 2016 campaign against two relatively easy opponents, the Miami Marlins, and the San Diego Padres, but today will be a real test for him against the Toronto Blue Jays in Chase Field. Godley has actually struggled more with righties than lefties, which plays perfectly for the Toronto Blue Jays who have some righties than can flat out hit the ball in Josh Donaldson, Edwin Encarnacion, and Troy Tulowitzki. The rest of the Blue Jays lineup is anything but a push over, and tonight we will finally be able to see if Zach Godley is the real deal or not. In my opinion, I don’t think he is, and I am going to target hitters against him until he proves to me that he can be respected.
That’s all I have for today, thanks for reading! If you have any questions feel free to reach out to me on Twitter @ColemanBahr, good luck tonight!